It is by now well established that Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk ('The Yarmouk Martyrs Brigade'), a one-time member of the Free Syrian Army Southern Front coalition, has become pro-Islamic State (ISIS) in orientation, using the ISIS flag in its logo and echoing ISIS discourse in its statements. Controlling a contiguous area of towns and villages in the Yarmouk Valley in south-western Deraa province, aspects of Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk governance have begun to mimic ISIS administration. But the process of the transition, based on publicly available evidence, still remains unclear. When exactly did Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk begin leaning towards ISIS? How did it happen? And what is the current state of play in the Yarmouk Valley?
The first claims of a Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk alignment with ISIS came in December 2014 from Jabhat al-Nusra, the al-Qaeda affiliate in Syria, which sparked clashes between the two groups that culminated in a ceasefire brokered by the Salafi rebel group Harakat al-Muthanna al-Islamiya. Though other Southern Front commanders at the time denied that Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk was secretly in league with ISIS, local testimony makes clear that after the clashes, a connection between Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk and ISIS became a matter of public knowledge in the Yarmouk Valley. "[It began] after the clashes. It was in the beginning only that members heard about the Dawla [ISIS]. They liked the manhaj [ideological program], and [there was] a revolution of the youth: 'We want their course if they are truthful,'" said Rola al-Baridi via Facebook, a resident from the town of Jamla, an area controlled by Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk.
No one, however, was able or willing to confirm the allegations of secret contact prior to that period. As al-Baridi put it, "With regards to whether there was a secret connection with respect to the leadership, this I don't know about. We are speaking about what is in the open." One member of the group, calling himself Abu Faruk, attempted to portray his brigade as having always been 'Islamic' in orientation, saying: "From the beginning, the brigade was Islamic in formation and thought." This assertion should be taken with a pinch of salt. The term used by locals and members of the group to describe the changes that have come about in the Yarmouk Valley since knowledge of the connection between ISIS and Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk became public is islah, meaning 'reform' in Arabic. In this regard, the most notable change has been the establishment of a separate court in the town of al-Shajra, circumventing the authority of the Dar al-'Adl that is the accepted judicial body among factions in the south. Despite complaints from the Dar al-'Adl that Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk had been targeting and assassinating members of other factions besides operating the court illegally, Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk continued to defy the Dar al-'Adl, announcing (again) in late July the opening of an "Islamic court," only this time with an 'Islamic police' force to accompany it, imitating ISIS' own "Islamic police". In August, Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk set up a "Diwan al-Hisba"- taking the name ISIS uses for its own department of governance designed to enforce Islamic morality.
Here though, a notable difference exists for now between Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk and ISIS. Both engage in free distribution of the niqab—or face veil—to local women, but so far, wearing it has not become compulsory in Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk territory. According to Rola al-Baridi, "They [the Diwan al-Hisba of Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk] call on women [to wear it] and distribute the niqab, but without coercion." The group has also been confiscating cigarettes and closing shops that have been selling them.
One member of the brigade, calling himself Abu Layth al-Yarmouki, explained the 'reform' as one of gradual implementation, pointing out that the past environment had not made application of Shari'a immediately viable. "Our amir al-Khal [the leader of Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk] is trying to implement the law of God in this land, but there are obstacles," al-Yarmouki said. He elaborated as follows: "[Besides] customs and traditions, there has also been a kafir [non-Islamic] regime that did not forbid what God forbade: the thief was imprisoned and if he paid a bribe, he got out of his prison. The man and woman who fornicate, there was no ruling against them. Smoking, drunkenness, prostitution houses, and scandalous dress were considered personal freedom." In addition to implementing draconian rulings according to its interpretations of Islamic law, ISIS also places heavy emphasis on the concept of "utopia" (i.e. a life of security and normality) and displaying provision of services in the form of a comprehensive bureaucracy, such as the Diwan al-Khidamat (services department). Though Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk has imitated the 'utopia' concept to an extent, by showcasing the normality of life in the Yarmouk Valley with a photo series of a football match, no evidence exists of services provision from the group. Locals are forced to rely on private generators for electricity and must buy water from individual sellers.
This situation is partly due to the state of siege that exists in the area, as the southern Jaysh al-Fatah (including Jabhat al-Nusra and Ahrar al-Sham) and the Southern Front's al-Farqat al-Awlain particular try to rout Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk. "There is in our region a committee to distribute bread and humanitarian aid when Jabhat al-'Ahra [derogatory for Jabhat al-Nusra] allows it to pass through it to us," said al-Yarmouki. Prices for goods seem high. Al-Yarmouki claimed the price of meat is $6.36 a kilo, petrol is $2.91 a litre, and one roll of bread is $0.07.
Still unclear amid all the details is motivation. What prompted the turn toward ISIS? To be sure, the brigade did not exactly have the best reputation, even as a member of the wider Southern Front coalition. Perhaps the group saw a chance to improve its standing among locals by gradually becoming more 'Islamic' in governance and deepening its affinity with ISIS. There have been somewhat comparable cases elsewhere in the Syrian civil war: out in Albukamal area in the east of Deir az-Zor province along the border with Iraq, the local western-backed FSA affiliate Liwa Allahu Akbar, under the leadership of Saddam al-Jamal, clashed with Jabhat al-Nusra in September 2013. Widely viewed as corrupt, al-Jamal later emerged as a defector to ISIS, although allegations of connections with ISIS were not at the center of the initial clashes with Jabhat al-Nusra. One well-connected source in ISIS-held territories said al-Jamal is now the ISIS wali [provincial governor] of ISIS' Wilayat al-Kheir [Deir az-Zor province].*
For now, Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk has not become ISIS' 'Wilayat Deraa' in Syria, but that seems to be only a matter of time and partly dependent on whether ISIS can connect the Yarmouk Valley to the rest of its contiguous territorial holdings in Syria. "Inshallah," said one Ahmad Brede of Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk when asked if they would become Wilayat Deraa. For rebels in the area, however, destroying Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk is a matter of ever greater urgency, as they may eventually end up trapped in a pincer between ISIS forces to the north and Liwa Shuhada' al-Yarmouk from behind.
*[Update 16 October 2015: Conversely, DeirezZor 24 says this on positions of power in Deir az-Zor province: "Recently the organization has made a number of changes in the leadership positions and the most recent of them is the wali, known by the name of 'Abu Saleh al-Jabalawi'." On Saddam al-Jamal: "He is not the wali but responsible for Albukamal only, having been transferred from the town of al-Shaddadi in al-Hasakah. And the general wali for Deir az-Zor is Syrian in nationality"].